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Why the big phone companies are dogs PDF Print E-mail
Written by CNN.com   
Thursday, 31 December 2009 09:31

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NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- You'd think that 2009 would have been a great year for telecom stocks, right?

Think of all the hot gadgets: Apple's latest iPhone 3GS; Motorola's new Droid; the BlackBerry Storm 2; and several other touchscreen smartphones. But shares of the leading telecoms whose networks run these devices have missed out on the big stock-market rally.

AT&T (T, Fortune 500), the exclusive iPhone carrier in the United States, is down about 1%. Shares of Ma Bell's top rival, Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500), are also down slightly in 2009.

Contrast that with Apple's stock more than doubling and Motorola enjoying a Lazarus-like comeback after a disastrous 2008.

This phenomenon isn't confined to the United States either: Shares of other leading telecom service providers around the globe have also stumbled.

The U.S. listed shares of Germany's Deutsche Telekom (DT), the parent company of T-Mobile, are down about 2%. Shares of France Telecom (FTE) are down 9%. China Mobile's (CHL) stock has fallen 11% while Japan's NTT DoCoMo (DCM) have plunged 28%.

Even one of the sector's better performers, Britain's Vodafone (VOD), has had a relatively modest stock price gain of 12.5%. (The S&P 500 is up 25% while the Nasdaq has surged nearly 45%.)

What gives? Even though many new phones are flying off the shelves and the carriers seem to be able to find a way to charge you fees for every conceivable data application imaginable, AT&T and Verizon are both expected to report a slide in earnings this year compared to 2008. Next year looks only slightly better.

Analysts are projecting just a 6% jump in earnings on a 1% increase in sales at AT&T, and a 2% rise in profits at Verizon and less than 1% increase in revenue. Unexciting growth prospects. Is there an app for that?

Simply put, growth in the cell phone units of AT&T and Verizon aren't enough to completely offset declines in other areas of their business.

Revenues from their "old" landline business already had been on the wane due to growth in wireless. The rough economy just made things worse as shrinking businesses had less of a need for phone service.

"Look at the fundamentals for Verizon and AT&T. Their corporate wireline businesses have been a drag. They have been under the strain of rising unemployment," said Steve Clement, an analyst with Pacific Crest Securities.

Along those lines, AT&T reported a 10% increase in wireless service revenue during this year's third quarter compared to a year ago, but sales in its voice (i.e. landlines) business declined 15%.

And even though wireless is now AT&T's biggest revenue generator, accounting for 40% of total sales, the old school phone business still has a big impact on the overall company. Voice revenue accounts for more than a quarter of Ma Bell's total sales.

The trend was similar at Verizon. Wireline revenues were down 5% in the third quarter while wireless sales were up 24%. But Verizon relies even more on its older businesses than AT&T. Wireline revenue accounted for more than 40% of total sales in the quarter.

Plus, the strong growth in Verizon's wireless revenue was largely a result of the acquisition of Alltel earlier this year. The third quarter 2008 results did not include Alltel. If they had, wireless sales growth would have been just 5%.

Dial B for boring

With all that in mind, it's no wonder that analysts are projecting anemic earnings growth for AT&T and Verizon during the next few years -- just 4% to 5%. Similar growth rates are expected for Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom and China Mobile.

The two U.S. phone giants have other problems too: In addition to competing against each other, they also face stiff pressure from cable companies and satellite companies like Comcast and DirecTV in other areas such as high-speed data and video services.

Clement said Verizon and AT&T may make "gradual inroads" in the video business but that increased subscribers may not necessarily lead to bigger profits since the cable and phone companies have typically had to resort to aggressive price cuts to attract customers.

Joseph Bonner, an analyst with Argus Research, said both companies also have specific customer-related issues they need to overcome. AT&T, for example, may benefit from having the iPhone in its arsenal but there is a perception that Verizon's 3G wireless coverage is better. Verizon, on the other hand, lacks a true must-have device.

"These companies have to keep proving themselves constantly. AT&T has a great phone with the iPhone but there are all these questions about network issues. Verizon has to continue to wow people with new products," Bonner said.

Still, Bonner thinks the two stocks may still be worth buying for some investors. They may never wow Wall Street with the type of profit growth that the Apples and Googles of the world enjoy, but both Verizon and AT&T do offer a bit of security for investors not willing to stomach a lot of market volatility.

Bonner said the worst of the declines in the landline business are probably behind the two companies and that this is factored into the stock prices. What's more, both have dividend yields of nearly 6%. The yield on a 10-year Treasury note, by way of comparison, is less than 4%.

"This year's rally has been for stocks that were beaten down and more risky. AT&T and Verizon both have strong dividends. They are safe havens," Bonner said.

Clement agreed, saying that the dividends make them attractive and that Verizon and AT&T should outperform other investments in a rough market.

But talk about damning with faint praise. If the best you can say about Verizon and AT&T these days is that they are probably a better bet than a government bond, it's no wonder most investors have shunned them.

 
Apple tablet computer rumour sends shares up PDF Print E-mail
Written by BBC.com   
Wednesday, 30 December 2009 17:25

Apple shares have jumped another 1% as speculation grows that it will launch a new touch-screen computer.

Over the past two weeks the iPhone manufacturer's share price has been pushed up steadily by the rumours.

Apple has booked San Francisco's Yerba Buena Centre on 26 January for a "major product announcement" without giving any further details.

The company has previously used January launches to unveil products including the iPhone and the MacBook Air.

The venue is the same used by Apple's chief executive Steve Jobs when he made his return earlier this year following a liver transplant.

Touch-screen rumours

Blogs and analysts have fuelled rumours that Apple will launch a new touch-screen "tablet" computer - resembling a larger version of the iPhone and variously dubbed the iSlate or the iTablet.

The rumours have already helped Apple shares rise by more than 11% since early December.

But the company's share price has dropped in recent days, amid a continued patent dispute with mobile phone maker Nokia.

Nokia claims that most of Apple's products - from the iPod to the iPhone - make use of its patent-protected technologies.

 
FBI Probes Cyber Attack on Citigroup: Report PDF Print E-mail
Written by CNBC.com   
Tuesday, 22 December 2009 06:49

The U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation is investigating a hacking that targeted Citigroup and resulted in the theft of tens of million of dollars, the Wall Street Journal said, citing U.S. government officials.

The cyber attack by hackers believed to be linked to a Russian cyber gang was aimed at Citi's Citibank subsidiary, the paper said, adding it was unclear whether the hackers gained access to the bank's systems directly or through third parties.

Two other entities, including a U.S. government agency, were also attacked by hackers, the paper said, citing people familiar with the attack on Citibank.

The cyber attack on Citibank was believed to have taken place last summer but U.S. investigators suspect the attack could have taken place a year earlier, the paper said.

"We had no breach of the system and there were no losses, no customer losses, no bank losses," Joe Petro, managing director of Citigroup's Security and Investigative services told the paper.

"Any allegation that the FBI is working a case at Citigroup involving tens of millions of losses is just not true," he said.

The FBI's press office could not be immediately reached for comment

 

Last Updated on Tuesday, 29 December 2009 10:34
 
Some Small Businesses That Grew in 2009 PDF Print E-mail
Written by TheNewYorkTimes.com   
Wednesday, 30 December 2009 17:19
Published: December 30, 2009

Air Tractor, which manufactures crop dusters and other agricultural aircraft in rural Olney, Tex., has been able to duck much of the current economic turbulence because it sells its specialized planes around the globe.

While selling in foreign markets has risks, small businesses like Air Tractor have been able to establish footholds abroad by relying on the Export-Import Bank of the United States to ensure they are paid for the goods and services they sell outside the United States.

“Without the Ex-Im Bank’sguarantee, there would be a significant difference in the deals we can make,” said David A. Ickert, the company’s vice president for finance. “We have been surviving and thriving because of exports.”

Air Tractor has been exporting its planes for agricultural seeding, fertilizing and spraying since 1995, when it sold its first two aircraft in Spain. Since then, overseas sales have been a boon to a company that employs 200 people in a town with 3,400 residents.

The company has tapped into the little-known services that the federal government provides to American exporters by compiling research and information about markets in foreign countries and by helping companies with financing. The Export-Import Bank, which is the official American export credit agency, guarantees loans and provides insurance and direct loans. The Commerce Department and all 50 states also offer help.

The bank, which has seven regional offices to help small businesses export their goods and services, authorized $4.36 billion in 2,540 transactions to support small business exports in fiscal year 2009. And the bank, which turned 75 this year, is ready to do more, said Diane Farrell, a member of the bank’s board.

“We have the capacity to do direct lending, and in these changing times, we will be looking to do more of it,” she said.

Congress is urging the federal government to take a larger role in helping small businesses with exports. The Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship this month approved legislation to bolster small business trade opportunities, and asked the Small Business Administration to appoint an official to focus on international trade programs. Federal lawmakers have also asked Ronald Kirk, the United States trade representative, to appoint a top-level official to open overseas markets to more American small businesses.

Less than 1 percent of the nation’s nearly 26 million small businesses are exporters, said Mary Landrieu, the Louisiana Democrat who heads the Senate small business committee. Those 240,000 businesses, she said, account for only 29 percent of the United States’ export volume, a number that that has decreased in the last 10 years, according to a letter Senator Landrieu and the committee’s ranking Republican, Senator Olympia Snowe, wrote to Mr. Kirk this year.

Even so, some small businesses said that in the current economic slump — federal statistics show overall exports by the United States fell 11.2 percent from October 2008 to October 2009 — their sales abroad remained strong and that they had been able to add jobs. Mr. Ickert of Air Tractor said the company had hired 30 people in the last year.

Engineered Systems and Equipment, a manufacturer of animal feed processing equipment in Caney, Kan., has more than doubled its work force recently, said its owner, Josef W. Barbi. He said the 26-year-old company now had 50 employees, an increase from the 20 in the last 18 months. “We are one of the few companies in our area who are still hiring,” Mr. Barbi said. Caney is in an economically depressed part of southeastern Kansas.

Last year, the Export-Import Bank insured a $500,000 deal for Engineered Systems to sell specialized pellet systems to a Honduran company, Proteina, which makes animal feed.

That was one of about $7 million in export deals in the last couple of years that Engineered Systems has made in Latin America. Backing from the Export-Import Bank has been crucial, he said, allowing his company to compete with European rivals.

While American exporters like Air Tractor are small enterprises, the business they do abroad can be large. Another Export-Import Bank client, Weldy-Lamont Associates, an engineering firm in Mount Prospect, Ill., relied on the bank’s financial support to win a $350 million rural electrification contract from the government of Ghana, said Patrick Hennelly, the company’s president.

The firm, with only 13 employees, used to design projects like paper mills in the Midwest, but has branched out to win contracts in Thailand, China and Yemen, Mr. Hennelly said.

Aided by an Export-Import Bank loan, Weldy-Lamont has taken a five-year electrification project in Ghana where, Mr. Hennelly said, “we’re putting in the wooden poles and stringing the wires to electrify villages across the whole country.”

The international projects are particularly timely, he said, because “the current economic crisis has stopped a couple of U.S. projects,” for his firm including coal and natural gas plants, from going forward.

Foreign projects can also lead to increased business orders inside the United States, said Kusum Kavia, co-owner and vice president of Combustion Associates, of Corona, Calif. Backed by Export-Import Bank insurance, her company won a multimillion-dollar contract to provide electric power generation systems to Benin. Ghana and Benin are in West Africa.

Parts for Benin’s 80-megawatt power plant power, Ms. Kavia said, come from suppliers in various regions of the United States. The gear boxes, for example, are made in Texas and the gear switchers in Pennsylvania. The generators are made in Ohio.

The portion of the Export-Import Bank’s financing for small business has increased in recent years, with prodding from Congress. In 2002, federal lawmakers told the bank to double small-business financing, from 10 to 20 percent, of the bank’s overall authorizations. The bank has met the goal every year since 2006.

Still, some lawmakers have said that the bank has cumbersome regulations and has not done enough to help small American businesses compete with heavily subsidized foreign competitors.

A 2006 report by the Government Accountability Office criticized the bank’s data and systems for tracking financing for small businesses. The bank has introduced Ex-Im Online, an automated transaction processing system to help small businesses and financial institutions speed through its paperwork. The same site, www.exim.gov, also has a small business portal for first-time applicants.

Small businesses can increase their chances of cracking the export market by doing their homework first, said Alan D. Andrews, vice president of PNC Bank’s global trade and equipment finance group, which works with the Export-Import Bank. That includes checking online state resources, too; each has an export assistance center, he said.

Companies can also turn to the United States Commercial Service (part of the Commerce Department’s International Trade Administration), which has market research and information about legal and other issues for each country. Its site is www.export.gov.

 
Firefox for mobile 'days away' from launch PDF Print E-mail
Written by BBC.com   
Tuesday, 22 December 2009 06:46
The mobile browser has been in development for the last year and a half

The first mobile phone version of the popular web browser Firefox is "days away" from launch, the head of the project has told the BBC.

The browser, codenamed Fennec, will initially be available for Nokia's N900 phone, followed by other handsets.

It is currently going through final testing and could be released before the end of the year, said Jay Sullivan at Mozilla, the group behind Firefox.

The open-source browser will be able to synchronise with the desktop version.

Apple is very restrictive. It doesn't allow other browsers
Jay Sullivan
Mozilla

Software will mean that any web pages open in a user's desktop browser will automatically open in the mobile version.

"At the end of the working day you can walk away from your computer and keep on going on your phone," Mr Sullivan told the BBC.

"It encrypts all of the information and sends it back through the cloud between your desktop and mobile."

He said that providing there were no "show stoppers", the software could be available to download "within the year".

Desktop success

The browser will be available to download from the Mozilla website and then offered in Nokia's Ovi store, so that N900 owners can download the software.

The organisation is also developing versions for Microsoft's Windows mobile and Google's Android operating system.

 

However, he said that it would be some time before iPhone users would be able to use the browser.

"Apple is very restrictive. It doesn't allow other browsers," he said. "As it's a pretty closed platform we don't see that happening soon."

When it launches, Firefox will compete with browsers such as Opera, which is the most popular mobile browser according to analytics firm Stats Counter.

Apple's Safari for mobile, which comes bundled with the iPhone, is the second most popular, whilst Nokia's own browser is third.

The mobile version of Firefox will hope to follow the success of its desktop browser.

Stats Counter has reported that the latest version of the Firefox browser has overtaken Internet Explorer 7 (IE7) as the World's most popular browser with 21.93% of the market, compared with IE7's share of 21.2%.

However, other firms suggest IE still has the lead on Firefox, whilst all agree that the various versions of Explorer still dominate the web browser market, with a share of more than 50%.

App craze

Fennec has been in development for the last year and a half.

The new software has many of the features of the desktop version, such as tabbed browsing, and an address bar that doubles as a search box.

Opera screenshot
Opera is currently the most popular web mobile browser

However, the mobile version will also scale pages to fit the device and will support functions such as tapping the screen to zoom in on a page.

Mr Sullivan said it would also be the first mobile browser to have "add-ons", small pieces of software that add functionality to the browser such as news readers or online games. They can also be used to customise the look and feel of the browser.

"Because it is a browser for a mobile device, the add-ons will be different," said Mr Sullivan. "You'll see ones that use geo-location and exploit how the device is tilted."

The add-ons will add functionality to the phone that is currently offered by mobile apps.

These small specialist pieces of software have become increasingly popular. For example, Apple now offer more than 100,000 apps in its store ranging from games and social networks to news readers and tools that allow people to use sites such as eBay or Amazon on the go.

Blackberry, Google, Nokia, Symbian and Nokia all offer their own app stores.

Mr Sullivan believed that developing add-ons for Firefox would be easier than developing apps for each individual phone because it relied on well-understood and widely-used web programming languages such as Javascript and HTML.

"Currently, it's really hard for a developer - you have to develop for each app store," he said.

"[With Firefox], you can write it once and it works everywhere."

However, he said that he did not think that the browser would completely replace apps.

"They will co-exist," he said.

Last Updated on Tuesday, 29 December 2009 10:35
 
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